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  • 2020: What are the Takeaways for Actuaries?
    By Daniel Finn Risks & Rewards, June 2021 Author's note: After a very challenging year, actuaries need ... staunch the spread of the virus, vast swaths of the U.S. economy were shut down. These unprecedented restrictions ...

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    • Authors: Daniel B Finn
    • Date: Jun 2021
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Financial markets; Economics>Macroeconomics; Enterprise Risk Management>Capital markets; Enterprise Risk Management>Portfolio management - ERM; Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM
  • Pension Accounting & Personal Saving
    2001, before bouncing back to 3.9 percent in 2002 (U.S. Department of Commerce, 2003). There is considerable ... doubled between 1988 and 2000, rising from 0.8 percent to 1.7 percent in 2000 (Perozek and Reinsdorf, ...

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    • Authors: Annamaria Lusardi, Jonathan Skinner, Steven Venti
    • Date: Oct 2003
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Macroeconomics; Pensions & Retirement>Pension accounting
  • What One Can Learn from the Bank of Canada
    currency is a symptom of a country’s economic problems and discusses Canada’s experience through late 1997 ... 1997, and concludes that the government’s fiscal and monetary policies were not the long term answer to the ...

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    • Authors: Nino A Boezio
    • Date: Oct 1998
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Macroeconomics; Public Policy
  • A 99-Year Prospective Test of an Interest-Rate Theory
    better measure. percent changes in the numbers of U.S. The writer hopes that any experts who are patents ... focuses on cap- ital located in the U.S., rather than on capital owned by U.S. interests. By 1920 it was being ...

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    • Authors: Daniel Case
    • Date: Oct 1998
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Macroeconomics
  • Middle Way" for Long Term Interest Rates
    percent of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP); now it is approximately 25 percent of U.S. GDP, or approximately ... “may not be an exact reversion to precrisis level(s).” He observes that the deep structural changes to ...

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    • Authors: Suhrid Swaminarayan
    • Date: Aug 2018
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Financial markets; Economics>Macroeconomics; Finance & Investments>Investments
  • The Wall Street Journal 2001 Forecasting Survey:A Deconstruction
    The Wall Street Journal 2001 Forecasting Survey:A Deconstruction The author ... discusses the review of a recent 2001 Wall Street Journal’s semiannual survey of economists’ forecasts, starting ...

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    • Authors: Victor Canto
    • Date: Jul 2001
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Macroeconomics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • What Makes the Yield Curve Move?
    to a few unobservable factors (Dai and Singleton 2000). Specifically, empirical studies reveal that more ... of the “slope” factor of the yield curve in the U.S. after 1982. His study identifies monetary policy ...

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    • Authors: Tau Wu
    • Date: Oct 2003
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Macroeconomics
  • Are We In A Different Market Paradigm?
    Leo M. Tilman and Ajay Rajadfhyaksha Exhibit 4: U.S. Non-Farm Productivity Growth shading = recession ... (commonly represented as the yield of the 10-yr U.S. Treasury note) are derived from corresponding outlooks ...

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    • Authors: Larry Rubin, John Ryding, Leo Tilman, Christian Gilles, Ajay Rajadhyaksha
    • Date: Jul 2003
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Macroeconomics; Finance & Investments
  • Mean Reversion and Chronic Low Interest Rates
    69 Risks & Rewards IS SU E 69 F EB R U AR Y 20 17 Mean Reversion & Chronic Low Interest ... capital are determinants of interest rates. The table below shows GDP, wealth and global capital for 2010 ...

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    • Authors: Robert Crompton
    • Date: Feb 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Macroeconomics
  • Taking Stock: What Ever Happened to the "Invisible Hand"?
    prior decade (managed through such agencies as the U.S. Federal Reserve) did create financial imbalances ... Low interest rates were brought about after the 2000–2002 re- cession (a recession spurred on by the ...

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    • Authors: Nino A Boezio
    • Date: Feb 2016
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Strategic Insight and Integration>Influence decisions; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Economics>Financial markets; Economics>Macroeconomics; Enterprise Risk Management>Strategic risks; Enterprise Risk Management>Systematic risk; Enterprise Risk Management>Systemic risk